The recent Indian election results have sent shockwaves through the markets, exacerbating volatility as demonstrated by the Senex index reaching unprecedented levels on the day the results were announced. This market upheaval was primarily fueled by misleading and biased exit polls. With no political party gaining a clear majority, it appears that India is poised for an extended period of coalition governance. This shift forebodes significant changes in policy-making, moving away from unilateral decisions to more collaborative and, potentially, contentious deliberations. Such a political landscape heightens uncertainty, which could further destabilize the market, particularly given the emotionally driven nature of some investments—a factor vividly illustrated by the market downturn on the day of the election.
Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) plays a crucial role in driving market valuations, making it essential to understand not only the current perception of the Indian market among international investors but also to examine historical trends. This article aims to delve into these dynamics, offering investors insights to better navigate the uncertainties ahead, armed with a deeper understanding of the forces at play.